February 4, 2026

Oil & Gas – Uncertainty as a driver of market turbulence

  • TTF market correction: The sharp price increase of recent weeks corrected this week after tensions in Iran receded and weather forecasts improved.
  • Large gas stock replenishment task: Assuming average winter weather, the replenishment task for the EU in the summer months will be around 15 bcm greater than in recent years.
  • Volatility in the oil market: Geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and the US led to price increases and decreases in the oil market.
  • Fed independence: A weaker dollar is dampening fuel prices in Europe, but political pressure on the Fed is increasing market uncertainty.